An agricultural biomass balance model to assess the impacts of changes in agri-food systems at a global scale

 

The GlobAgri platform has been set up by CIRAD and INRAE to generate consistent databases and biomass balance models using data from FAOStat as well as data shared by colleagues from different institutions.

To illustrate GlobAgri’s potential, this website reports various studies where GlobAgri has been used.

Studies

The role of European agriculture
in world trade by 2050

This study, carried out by INRAE at the request of Pluriagri1, examines the possible changes in the position of European agricultural production on world agricultural markets up to 2050, provided the uncertainties relating to the effects of both climate change and technical progress, and taking into account constraints linked to the extension of agricultural land and impact of food transitions.

Middle-East and North Africa food dependency through 2050

This study, carried out by INRAE at the request of Pluriagri, examines the possible future of the agricultural and food systems of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region up to 2050, with a specific emphasis on the import dependency of the region.

The study proposes a retrospective analysis of agricultural production, uses and trade in the MENA over 1961-2011. Then, it analyses several possible trajectories of the MENA systems, taking into account the expected effects of climate change and the potential effects of technical progress, improvement in irrigation, changes in diets and demography.

Land use and global food security
in 2050

What are the main drivers of land-use changes and how do they interact and influence food and nutrition security? How will the agricultural land area change over the next 40 years, at the world level and in the different regions of the world? What tensions will there be between food and nutrition security and mitigation of climate change in 2050? In order to answer these questions, CIRAD and INRAE decided to conduct Agrimonde-Terra, a new foresight exercise on “Land use and food security in 2050”.

Five exploratory scenarios were built, showing contrasting future of the land use and food security system in 2050. The GlobAgri platform was designed and used to assess the consequences of these scenarios on agricultural production, trade and land use at the global level.